Jess's Lab Notebook

Conspiracy Theories and Circular Logic

  • I'm fairly certain that the indulgence in conspiracy theories requires the employment of circular logic to maintain.
  • At the least, it requires dubious truth claims and inferences (thus compounding the error in the logic) in order to make each successive leap.
  • It requires motivation, intent, and what could have happened, since the truth is, by definition, inaccessible.
  • Once you've accepted one of the premises, you're now on the circular logic merry-go-round!
  • How to combat this?
    • Separate each truth claim and examine it individually. Don't relate it to other truth claims. Establish the veracity of a single, well-defined question.
    • Make sure each claim is well-defined and causally linked. Don't settle for vague assertions or possibilities. Either a thing is true or it is not true.
    • Claims must be falsifiable!
  • You don't have to resort to:
    • Trust/mistrust of the "wisdom of the crowds"
    • You should liberally apply Occam's Razor - simpler explanations are by definition better.
      • Surprising explanations bear more burden of proof.

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Conspiracy Theories and Circular Logic
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